Alabama vs. Texas Odds, Picks, and Predictions: February 11, 2025

Alabama vs. Texas: Betting Odds, Predictions, and Best Picks for February 11, 2025

The Alabama Crimson Tide and Texas Longhorns meet for an exciting SEC showdown at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday at the Moody Center. Alabama (20-3 overall, 7-1 on the road) is ranked No. 2, while Texas (15-9 overall, 10-4 at home) looks to rebound after back-to-back losses.

Alabama enters the game as a 4.5-point favorite, according to SportsLine, with an over/under set at 165.5 points. Before making any bets, let’s take a closer look at why both teams have a case to cover the spread.

Betting Lines for Alabama vs. Texas:

• Spread: Texas +4.5
• Over/Under: 165.5 points
• Moneyline: Texas +158, Alabama -192

Why Texas Can Cover the Spread

Despite their recent struggles, Texas remains dangerous, especially at home. The Longhorns’ offense is powered by Tre Johnson, a freshman standout averaging 19.0 points per game. He’s shooting 43.4% from the field and 37.9% from beyond the arc, and he’s scored 25+ points in three of his last four home games.

Supporting Johnson is Kadin Shedrick, who contributes 8.6 points, 6.3 rebounds, and 4 blocks in his last game. If Texas can tighten up defensively and get another big performance from Johnson, they could cover the spread.

Recent ATS Trend: Texas is 8-1 ATS in their last nine games on a Tuesday.

Why Alabama Can Cover the Spread

Alabama’s offense is the best in college basketball, averaging 90.0 points per game. Their fast-paced, high-scoring style is led by Mark Sears, who averages 17.8 points per game, and Grant Nelson, who had 15 points and two blocks in their recent win over Arkansas.

The Crimson Tide are also solid defensively, capable of shutting down opposing scorers and controlling the tempo. Alabama’s track record in SEC play is impressive, winning five straight conference games.

Recent ATS Trend: Alabama is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games.

Prediction and Expert Pick

The SportsLine model, which simulates every Division 1 game 10,000 times, projects this game to go under 165.5 total points. The model also indicates that one side of the spread covers in more than 70% of simulations.

Key Stats to Watch:

• Alabama: Leads the nation in scoring at 90.0 points per game.
• Texas: Strong home team, winning 10 of 14 home games this season.
• Tre Johnson (Texas): Averaging 25+ points at home over his last four games.
• Mark Sears (Alabama): One of the SEC’s most efficient shooters, with 17.8 PPG.

Final Take:

This matchup has all the ingredients for a high-energy SEC showdown. Texas will rely on home-court advantage and a big game from Tre Johnson, but Alabama’s explosive offense and recent form make them a tough opponent. Expect a close game with Alabama slightly favored to cover the spread.