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Naoya Inoue vs. Ramon Cardenas: Prediction, odds, start time, how to watch Sunday’s title fight

Naoya Inoue vs. Ramon Cardenas: Fight Prediction, Odds, Start Time, Card, and How to Watch

The "Monster" returns to Las Vegas in his first U.S. fight since 2021

Naoya Inoue, boxing's reigning pound-for-pound knockout artist and undisputed junior featherweight champion, returns to action this Sunday, May 4, at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, where he will defend his titles against Ramon Cardenas. The bout marks Inoue’s first fight in the U.S. in four years, and though the matchup is a significant step up from his last opponent, Cardenas enters as a massive underdog.

🔥 Fight Details

Event: Naoya Inoue (c) vs. Ramon Cardenas
Titles at stake: Undisputed junior featherweight championship
Date: Sunday, May 4
Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas
Start time: 10 p.m. ET
Where to watch: ESPN / ESPN+

🧠 Inoue vs. Cardenas: What to Expect

Naoya Inoue (29–0, 26 KOs)

Inoue is unbeaten and a four-division champion. Known as “The Monster,” he has scored 26 knockouts in 29 fights and is coming off a dominant win over Ye Joon Kim after his planned January bout with Sam Goodman fell through. Inoue is considered one of the most complete fighters in the sport, with devastating power, elite footwork, and high ring IQ.

Ramon Cardenas (23–1, 11 KOs)

Cardenas has built his name as a disciplined boxer with clean technique, but he lacks the power typically needed to stop a fighter like Inoue. Wins over Rafael Pedroza and Bryan Acosta made him a fringe contender, but this is by far the biggest challenge of his career.

🥊 Odds (via Caesars Sportsbook)

Naoya Inoue to win: –10000
Ramon Cardenas to win: +1700
Inoue by KO/TKO: –835
Fight not to go the distance: –715

🧩 Prediction

Cardenas is a tough, technical boxer — but he’s not a power puncher, and that’s likely his downfall against someone like Inoue. To beat Inoue, an opponent has to be able to hurt him and earn his respect. Cardenas doesn’t possess that type of firepower.

Expect Inoue to apply pressure early, target the body, and break down Cardenas within 5–7 rounds. The only intrigue is how long Cardenas can survive.

Official prediction: Naoya Inoue via KO/TKO in Round 6
Most likely outcome: Inoue by stoppage, under 9.5 rounds

🧾 Full Fight Card and Odds

Naoya Inoue (c) –10000 vs. Ramon Cardenas +1700 – Undisputed junior featherweight title
Rafael Espinoza (c) –1430 vs. Edward Vazquez +800 – WBO featherweight title
Rohan Polanco –3335 vs. Fabian Maidana +1150 – Welterweight
Ra'eese Aleem –3335 vs. Rudy Garcia +1200 – Featherweight

🗓️ What’s Next for Inoue?

Assuming a win on Sunday, the next major step for Inoue could be a long-anticipated showdown with WBA mandatory challenger Murodjon Akhmadaliev, possibly in Saudi Arabia this September. That fight would represent one of Inoue's toughest tests to date — and one that fans and pundits alike have been demanding.

Inoue is expected to deliver another masterclass on U.S. soil this weekend. Whether this is a final tune-up or another destructive highlight on his résumé, fans won’t want to miss it.

Stay with The Horizons Times for live coverage, results, and post-fight analysis from Las Vegas.

Chase Montgomery

Chase Montgomery is an American basketball enthusiast with a keen eye for detail. He offers fresh perspectives and thought-provoking takes on the latest sports stories